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Friday August 31, 2018

A Pound of Cure

This week, as investors and economists fixate on record highs set by major stock market indices, they have ignored much more significant developm...

Friday June 22, 2018

A Trade War Won’t Be Good for the Dollar

On Wall Street, it’s best not to think too hard or to look too closely into the mouths of gift horses. Since making predictions based on actu...

Friday June 1, 2018

Making Italy Great Again

This week, market watchers around the world are justifiably fixated with the high-stakes, high-drama political developments unfolding in Italy. Whi...

Friday May 25, 2018

Trump “Victories??? on Trade are Anything But

Earlier this year when President Trump began beating the drums loudly, causing fear of a trade war (and assuring us that such a conflict could be e...

Wednesday March 7, 2018

Trump Plays with Fire on Trade

With his announcement last week of broad tariffs on imported steel and aluminum, President Trump launched what could be the first salvo of an all-o...

Monday February 5, 2018

Raising Rates Reflect Bigger Debt Not Faster Growth

While investors are justifiably focused on what may be the opening crescendo of a long overdue sell-off in stocks, there is not, as of yet, as feve...

Thursday December 7, 2017

Fake Tax Reform

After supposedly chomping on the bit for years to pass meaningful tax reform, Republicans are now set to blow an historic opportunity. Whatever ver...

Wednesday October 18, 2017

Calm Before The Storm

In light of the 30-year anniversary of the Black Monday Crash in 1987 (when the Dow lost more than 20% in "one day", we should be re...

Thursday September 28, 2017

A New Challenge to the Dollar

In a move that was little noticed outside of the financial world, China announced the creation of an oil futures contract (open to international tr...

Friday September 8, 2017

Blowing Off The Roof

Of all the absurd Washington pantomimes none has been as reliably entertaining and maddening as the annual debates to raise the debt ceilin...

Thursday August 31, 2017

Trump at His Most Brazen

The media has taken President Trump to task for all manner of false or exaggerated claims, but surprisingly little has been said about Trump&rsqu...

Wednesday August 30, 2017

The Swamp Strikes Back

On August 21st many Americans witnessed the moon cast a historic but short-lived shadow across the United States. One day later, Pr...

Thursday July 20, 2017

The Fed May Show Trump No Love

Typically, U.S. Presidents are wary of claiming stock market performance as a referendum on their success. Most have seemed to understand t...

Thursday July 13, 2017

The EU and Japan Move Closer

Any news that emerged from last week's G-20 Summit in Hamburg, Germany was bound to be overshadowed by the high theater of the first-ever ...

Wednesday June 28, 2017

Republicans Craft the Next Great Healthcare Failure

Those who claim that the Senate Republican proposal to replace Obamacare will kick millions of people out from health insurance coverage are ...

Friday June 16, 2017

Here Comes Quantitative Tightening

All of a sudden the Fed got a little tougher. Perhaps the success of the hit movie Wonder Woman has inspired Fed Chairwoman Ja...

Thursday June 15, 2017

British Election Sends Shockwaves Felt Here and Abroad

Last week’s General Election in the United Kingdom was a disaster for the new conservative government of Prime Minster Theresa May. Having ...

Friday June 2, 2017

In Defense of Trumpian Diplomacy

Given the media’s obsession with some of the President Trump’s communication challenges, it was utterly predictable that the President&...

Friday April 28, 2017

Damn the Deficits, Huge Tax Cuts Ahead!

Donald Trump has made good on one of his most audacious campaign promises by submitting what he describes as the biggest tax cut in U.S. History....

Thursday March 30, 2017

The Case for Socialized Medicine

Last week the American political establishment was shaken to its foundation when the Republican Party leadership withdrew the American Heal...

Friday March 10, 2017

Trumpcare: Different Plan, Same Problems

With his widely followed, and positively reviewed, address to Congress last week, President Trump showed how easy it could be to unite Washi...

Tuesday January 31, 2017

Britain Needs Trump for Smooth Brexit

At the Washington joint press conference with Prime Minister May held on January 27th, President Trump told the watching world, “Brexit is ...

Wednesday January 25, 2017

Italy’s Bank Rescue Foreshadows Nationalization of More EU Banks

On December 7, 2016, Italy’s Prime Minister Matteo Renzi resigned following defeat in a national referendum, that he had supported, that wo...

Wednesday January 18, 2017

Trump Deficits Will Be Huge

There is much we don’t know about how the Trump presidency will play out. Will the Wall get built? Who will pay for it? Will it have at least s...

Thursday December 22, 2016

Bush Trumps Reagan

The optimism that has followed the election of Donald Trump has pushed the Dow Jones Industrial Average to the threshold of 20,000, a level that ...

Wednesday December 14, 2016

War on Cash Spreads to India

Over the past year, central banks, commercial bankers and prominent economists have expressed the view that digital money and transfers should re...

Thursday November 17, 2016

King of Debt Takes the Reins

The election of Ronald Reagan in 1980 provides the best recent precedent for the unexpected triumph of Donald Trump (in my opinion, the other pos...

Tuesday November 15, 2016

Trump Triumphs as Brexit Faces a Serious Threat

Brexit and the Donald Trump presidential victory should rightly be viewed as the most significant international developments of the last dec...

Thursday November 10, 2016

Midnight in America

The think pieces of stunned political analysts are missing the most plausible argument explaining Donald Trump’s unexpected victory. I believ...

Thursday November 10, 2016

Midnight in America

Stunned political analysts are missing the most plausible argument explaining Donald Trump’s unexpected victory. The misreading of the A...